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Australia's defense‑funded report hypes risks to subsea cables to 'serve military goals'_我的网站

一 | 伊朗股市暗示着局势变化! 北京时间8月26日下午,据Tindex(伊朗经济指数参考),德黑兰证券交易所综合指数上涨155000点,突破6385000点;一度有90%的股票上涨,超过80%的股票上涨2%—3%。

Illustration: Liu Rui/GTA new report funded by Australia's Department of Defense played up security risks to submarine cables in the Indo-Pacific waters and pointed finger at China and some other countries over alleged undersea‑cable attacks in recent years, while claiming threats against subsea cables are growing. A Chinese expert said that accusing China without conclusive evidence constitutes "over‑securitization" made by Australian side, as well as a calculated pretext for its own military expansion.
Published by the National Security College at the Australian National University (ANU), the paper claimed recent damage to cables in the Baltic Sea and around China's Taiwan region suggests "state actors are now actively probing and testing cable infrastructure in peacetime as part of broader hybrid warfare strategies" to rapidly degrade connectivity at the outset of a conflict, The Australian reported.
The paper claimed 16 privately owned subsea cables that carry 99 percent of Australia's internet traffic are a "high priority target" for Australia's adversaries that could be severed in a conflict, threatening the nation's economy and social fabric, according to The Australian.
The report singled out China and Russia for blame, saying that there have been multiple apparent attacks on submarine cables in recent years in European waters as well as near China's Taiwan region, suspected to be linked to Russia and China, the Straits Times reported.
However, the report cites a 2025 voyage by Chinese research vessel
Tan Suo Yi Hao along Australia's western and southern coastlines as evidence to back its claim that "potential adversaries are actively gathering information about Australia's cable infrastructure."
This report, relying on the routine scientific operations of a Chinese research vessel in 2025 to level allegations of offensive actions against China, and employing ambiguous terminology such as "suspected" and "potential," demonstrates Australia's evidentiary leap, Chen Hong, director of the Australian Studies Center of East China Normal University, told the Global Times on Monday.
This erroneous claim was refuted by the Chinese Foreign Ministry at the time. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said on March 31, 2025 that China carries out normal activities at sea in accordance with international law, including UNCLOS.
"We hope Australia will have a right understanding of this and stop the groundless suspicion and speculations," Guo added.
This is not the first time certain Australian politicians has leveled baseless accusations of China intending to sabotage its undersea cables. Back in May, Defense Minister Richard Marles claimed during the Shangri-La Dialogue that China ought to boost transparency around its maritime operations. He also asserted that a surge in damage to subsea cables had transformed the seabed into a "battlefield," per The Australian.
Chen said Australian side's scaremongering is tied to its predictive threat‑perception framework forged in recent years. This framework designates China and other countries as strategic competitors in advance, subsequently forces routine scientific activities into a confrontational framework, Chen said.
Apart from unfounded allegations against China, the paper claims Australia's defense military "must incorporate the defense of submarine cable infrastructure into its operational planning," according to The Australian.
It added the government should also consider up¬grading an auxiliary ship operated by the navy, ADV Guidance, to enable it to repair damaged cables.
The vast majority of submarine cable damages are caused by accidental factors such as fishing operations and vessel anchoring, rather than deliberate sabotage. For suspected cases of intentional damage, independent technical investigation bodies should be established, and the principle of "investigate first, characterize later" should be strictly applied, so as to prevent ordinary maritime accidents from escalating into diplomatic conflicts, Chen said.
The core problem of Australian side's submarine cable security lies entirely with itself. Instead of addressing its own infrastructure shortcomings and improving its domestic protection and maintenance systems, the Australian side has chosen to continually exaggerate external threats and stoke bloc confrontation, the expert added.
Chen said that by fabricating alleged Chinese threats, Australian side seeks to "rationalize" its military spending increases and underwater force expansion. The submarine digital infrastructure originally meant to serve global development has been labeled along us versus them lines, and this constitutes the biggest hidden danger, he added.
。 据新华社消息,据伊朗伊斯兰共和国广播电视台25日晚报道,伊朗外交部副部长加里巴巴迪表示,根据伊朗与阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡航线新达成的谅解,进入波斯湾的航线将途经伊朗水域,离开波斯湾的航线将途经阿曼和伊朗水域,任何军舰不得通过该海峡,只允许商船通行。上午还有消息称,美国与伊朗已就停火协议条款达成共识,其内容包括霍尔木兹海峡的自由航行。 伊朗90%的股票上涨 伊朗伊斯兰共和国通讯社(IRNA)称,今天开盘后,德黑兰证券交易所综合指数上涨155000点,突破6385000点;一度超90%的股票上涨,超过80%的股票上涨2%—3%。这已经是伊朗股市连续第二天爆发。昨天开盘不到一个小时,德黑兰证券交易所综合指数上涨逾10万点,突破历史性的620万点。 伊朗股票的表现显然与美伊冲突局势缓和有关。巴基斯坦军方和伊朗安全部门消息人士对俄罗斯卫星通讯社透露,美国与伊朗已就停火协议条款达成共识,其内容包括霍尔木兹海峡的自由航行。消息人士说:“就停火协议达成共识,其中包括霍尔木兹海峡的自由航行条款。”消息人士指出,双方预计将在未来几天内公布相关消息。据消息人士介绍,根据谅解备忘录,将启动谈判和一轮技术性会议。 新华社援引伊朗伊斯兰共和国广播电视台25日晚报道,伊朗外交部副部长加里巴巴迪表示,根据伊朗与阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡航线新达成的谅解,进入波斯湾的航线将途经伊朗水域,离开波斯湾的航线将途经阿曼和伊朗水域,任何军舰不得通过该海峡,只允许商船通行。 加里巴巴迪表示,伊朗与阿曼之间的谅解并不意味着立即开放霍尔木兹海峡,上述通行安排为临时措施,两国后续将在30至60天内就划设一条新的永久航线展开谈判。 加里巴巴迪强调,如果伊朗的要求和条件得不到满足,霍尔木兹海峡将继续关闭。他表示,重开海峡的前提条件包括彻底结束黎巴嫩战线在内的所有战事、解除封锁、妥善解决也门问题,此外,美国必须全面履行其此前未能履行的所有承诺。加里巴巴迪说,美国声称已清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷的说法是“宣传谎言”,伊朗将打击进入该区域的美国扫雷舰。 变数依然存在 伊朗《Al-Vefaq》报编辑穆赫塔尔·哈达德表示,美国媒体报道称,美国国务卿鲁比奥表示华盛顿不会对伊朗发动新一轮打击,这表明美国有意维持目前的僵局,直至美国中期选举结束。哈达德警告说,伊朗不会被动地等待美国的时机。他认为,美国近期宣布的封锁和制裁措施并无实质新意,并表示,如果伊朗认为美国未能履行条件或不履行谅解备忘录,德黑兰将采取必要措施;他还补充说,伊朗正在调整的军事战略也体现了这一立场。 从霍尔木兹海峡的通航情况来看,周三公布的初步航运数据显示,周二有五艘散货船通过霍尔木兹海峡,与周一持平,但远低于过去十天的平均水平15艘。Kpler的初步追踪数据显示,两艘液化石油气船和一艘沥青船离开海峡,另有两艘空载成品油轮从阿曼湾进入。周一有四艘散货船通过。由于部分船舶关闭了AIS应答器,数据可能会有所修正。周二通过曼德海峡的船舶数量基本持平,为31艘,与前一天的29艘基本一致,与过去十天的平均水平大致相符。 另外,本周有四位消息人士透露,出于安全考虑,至少三家印度炼油企业和一家全球能源巨头计划停止使用伊朗新列入黑名单的船舶,其中包括用于船对船转运的船舶。 伊朗上周日公布了一份包含45艘船舶的名单,称这些船舶违反了其霍尔木兹海峡通行规则,并警告称将对任何与这些船舶进行货物转运的船舶采取行动。此举似乎旨在“干扰”阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯等海湾产油国的所谓“穿梭运输”。

(文章来源:券商中国)。
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